tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Salt Lake City → Portland via Sacramento: arrives on time 35%

  1. 20:15 SLC → 20:55 SMF
    WN 3757 · Southwest · 1h 40m · 54% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Sacramento (SMF) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:50 SMF → 23:20 PDX
    WN 309 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 1 h behind Salt Lake City). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection48%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 52% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (48%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip4h 05mSLC 20:15 to PDX 23:20, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.