tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Salt Lake City → Orlando via Sacramento: arrives on time 46%

  1. 20:15 SLC → 20:55 SMF
    WN 3757 · Southwest · 1h 40m · 54% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Sacramento (SMF) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:10 SMF → 06:15 MCO +1 day
    WN 3799 · Southwest · 5h 05m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 2 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip8h 00mSLC 20:15 to MCO 06:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.