tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Salt Lake City → Seattle via Sacramento: arrives on time 51%

  1. 20:15 SLC → 20:55 SMF
    WN 3757 · Southwest · 1h 40m · 54% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Sacramento (SMF) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:55 SMF → 23:50 SEA
    WN 4985 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 1 h behind Salt Lake City). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip4h 35mSLC 20:15 to SEA 23:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.