tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Houston via Nashville: arrives on time 81%

  1. 23:05 SMF → 05:10 BNA
    WN 3759 · Southwest · 4h 05m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 50m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:00 BNA → 10:05 HOU +1 day
    WN 532 · Southwest · 2h 05m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 2 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 125 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 50m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip9h 00mSMF 23:05 to HOU 10:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.