tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Orlando via Nashville: arrives on time 76%

  1. 23:05 SMF → 05:10 BNA
    WN 3759 · Southwest · 4h 05m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 40m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 06:50 BNA → 09:40 MCO +1 day
    WN 565 · Southwest · 1h 52m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 3 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 55 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 40m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip7h 37mSMF 23:05 to MCO 09:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.