tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Houston via Dallas: arrives on time 27%

  1. 15:40 SMF → 21:00 DAL
    WN 3772 · Southwest · 3h 20m · 51% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Dallas (DAL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:00 DAL → 23:12 HOU
    WN 63 · Southwest · 1h 12m · 55% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 2 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection51%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 49% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (51%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip5h 32mSMF 15:40 to HOU 23:12, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.