tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → San Juan via Orlando: arrives on time 13%

  1. 18:40 BWI → 21:10 MCO
    WN 3777 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 55% on time, 6.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:25 MCO → 01:20 SJU +1 day
    WN 2708 · Southwest · 2h 58m · 21% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time13%First flight not cancelled (6.0% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (21%).
Total trip6h 43mBWI 18:40 to SJU 01:20, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.