tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Kansas City via Orlando: arrives on time 31%

  1. 18:40 BWI → 21:10 MCO
    WN 3777 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 55% on time, 6.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:15 MCO → 00:45 MCI +1 day
    WN 3133 · Southwest · 2h 55m · 57% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kansas City is 1 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (6.0% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip6h 30mBWI 18:40 to MCI 00:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.