tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → New Orleans via Orlando: arrives on time 24%

  1. 18:40 BWI → 21:10 MCO
    WN 3777 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 55% on time, 6.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:05 MCO → 22:55 MSY
    WN 4656 · Southwest · 1h 48m · 53% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 1 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection49%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 51% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time24%First flight not cancelled (6.0% are) × connection made (49%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip5h 13mBWI 18:40 to MSY 22:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.