tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Kahului via Honolulu: arrives on time 68%

  1. 08:30 SMF → 11:00 HNL
    WN 3781 · Southwest · 5h 30m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:20 HNL → 13:10 OGG
    WN 1930 · Southwest · 50m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kahului is 3 h behind Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip7h 40mSMF 08:30 to OGG 13:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.