tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Kahului via Honolulu: arrives on time 97%

  1. 08:30 SMF → 11:00 HNL
    WN 3781 · Southwest · 5h 30m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 00m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:00 HNL → 14:50 OGG
    WN 1931 · Southwest · 50m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kahului is 3 h behind Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 135 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 00m layover.
Arrives on time97%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (98%).
Total trip9h 20mSMF 08:30 to OGG 14:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.