tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Kailua/Kona via Honolulu: arrives on time 73%

  1. 08:30 SMF → 11:00 HNL
    WN 3781 · Southwest · 5h 30m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 15m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:15 HNL → 14:10 KOA
    WN 561 · Southwest · 55m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kailua/Kona is 3 h behind Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 90 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 15m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip8h 40mSMF 08:30 to KOA 14:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.