tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Phoenix via Las Vegas: arrives on time 87%

  1. 05:25 SMF → 06:50 LAS
    WN 3784 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:55 LAS → 09:15 PHX
    WN 209 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 94% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip3h 50mSMF 05:25 to PHX 09:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.