tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Seattle via Las Vegas: arrives on time 67%

  1. 05:25 SMF → 06:50 LAS
    WN 3784 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:40 LAS → 10:25 SEA
    WN 739 · Southwest · 2h 45m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip5h 00mSMF 05:25 to SEA 10:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.