tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas → Houston via New Orleans: arrives on time 21%

  1. 12:52 DAL → 14:22 MSY
    WN 3790 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 57% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in New Orleans (MSY) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:15 MSY → 16:30 HOU
    WN 2998 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 56% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection38%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 62% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time21%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (38%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip3h 38mDAL 12:52 to HOU 16:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.