tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas → Los Angeles via New Orleans: arrives on time 23%

  1. 12:52 DAL → 14:22 MSY
    WN 3790 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 57% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 08m layover in New Orleans (MSY) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:30 MSY → 17:30 LAX
    WN 3004 · Southwest · 4h 00m · 36% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 2 h behind Dallas). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 23 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 08m layover.
Arrives on time23%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (36%).
Total trip6h 38mDAL 12:52 to LAX 17:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.