tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Houston via Los Angeles: arrives on time 46%

  1. 20:45 SMF → 22:15 LAX
    WN 3793 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 50% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 25m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:40 LAX → 05:00 HOU +1 day
    WN 2402 · Southwest · 3h 20m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 2 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 40 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 25m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip6h 15mSMF 20:45 to HOU 05:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.