tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Nashville via Long Beach: arrives on time 81%

  1. 06:20 SMF → 07:50 LGB
    WN 3794 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 40m layover in Long Beach (LGB) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:30 LGB → 16:30 BNA
    WN 165 · Southwest · 4h 00m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 2 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 115 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 40m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip8h 10mSMF 06:20 to BNA 16:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.