tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → El Paso via Dallas: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:40 MDW → 09:00 DAL
    WN 3796 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 96% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 00m layover in Dallas (DAL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:00 DAL → 11:40 ELP
    WN 1310 · Southwest · 1h 40m · 80% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (El Paso is 1 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 75 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 00m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 00mMDW 06:40 to ELP 11:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.