tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Miami via Dallas: arrives on time 64%

  1. 06:40 MDW → 09:00 DAL
    WN 3796 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 96% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 30m layover in Dallas (DAL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:30 DAL → 15:20 MIA
    WN 1361 · Southwest · 2h 50m · 68% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 105 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 30m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip7h 40mMDW 06:40 to MIA 15:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.