tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Houston via Orlando: arrives on time 88%

  1. 22:10 SMF → 06:15 MCO
    WN 3799 · Southwest · 5h 05m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 55m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:10 MCO → 10:45 IAH +1 day
    UA 2611 · United · 2h 35m · 88% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 10h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 2 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 85 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 55m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip10h 35mSMF 22:10 to IAH 10:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.