tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Baltimore via Orlando: arrives on time 92%

  1. 22:10 SMF → 06:15 MCO
    WN 3799 · Southwest · 5h 05m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 25m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:40 MCO → 10:55 BWI +1 day
    WN 2611 · Southwest · 2h 15m · 94% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 3 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 100 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 25m layover.
Arrives on time92%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip9h 45mSMF 22:10 to BWI 10:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.