tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Chicago via Orlando: arrives on time 76%

  1. 22:10 SMF → 06:15 MCO
    WN 3799 · Southwest · 5h 05m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:25 MCO → 09:15 MDW +1 day
    WN 2654 · Southwest · 2h 50m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip9h 05mSMF 22:10 to MDW 09:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.