tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Kansas City via Orlando: arrives on time 45%

  1. 22:10 SMF → 06:15 MCO
    WN 3799 · Southwest · 5h 05m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:05 MCO → 09:00 MCI +1 day
    WN 4139 · Southwest · 2h 55m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kansas City is 2 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection48%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 52% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (48%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (93%).
Total trip8h 50mSMF 22:10 to MCI 09:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.