tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → St Louis via Orlando: arrives on time 93%

  1. 22:10 SMF → 06:15 MCO
    WN 3799 · Southwest · 5h 05m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 35m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:50 MCO → 10:20 STL +1 day
    WN 4501 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (St Louis is 2 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 110 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 35m layover.
Arrives on time93%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (93%).
Total trip10h 10mSMF 22:10 to STL 10:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.