tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Minneapolis via Chicago: arrives on time 94%

  1. 23:50 SMF → 05:45 MDW
    WN 3802 · Southwest · 3h 55m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 55m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:40 MDW → 09:10 MSP +1 day
    WN 1243 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 2 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 70 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 55m layover.
Arrives on time94%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (96%).
Total trip7h 20mSMF 23:50 to MSP 09:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.