tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Baltimore via Chicago: arrives on time 87%

  1. 23:50 SMF → 05:45 MDW
    WN 3802 · Southwest · 3h 55m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:00 MDW → 09:45 BWI +1 day
    WN 2742 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 3 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip6h 55mSMF 23:50 to BWI 09:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.