tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Dallas via Chicago: arrives on time 81%

  1. 23:50 SMF → 05:45 MDW
    WN 3802 · Southwest · 3h 55m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 06:40 MDW → 09:00 DAL +1 day
    WN 3796 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 96% on time, 4.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas is 2 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (4.0% are) and within 15 minutes (96%).
Total trip7h 10mSMF 23:50 to DAL 09:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.