tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → New York via Portland: arrives on time 87%

  1. 18:05 SMF → 19:35 PDX
    WN 3813 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 46% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 00m layover in Portland (PDX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 22:35 PDX → 06:55 JFK +1 day
    DL 2139 · Delta · 5h 20m · 92% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 9h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 90 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 00m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip9h 50mSMF 18:05 to JFK 06:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.