tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Baltimore via Portland: arrives on time 68%

  1. 18:05 SMF → 19:35 PDX
    WN 3813 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 46% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 45m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:20 PDX → 05:15 BWI +1 day
    WN 3194 · Southwest · 4h 55m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 3 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 60 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 45m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip8h 10mSMF 18:05 to BWI 05:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.