tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Chicago via Portland: arrives on time 88%

  1. 18:05 SMF → 19:35 PDX
    WN 3813 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 46% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 55m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:30 PDX → 05:20 MDW +1 day
    WN 3203 · Southwest · 3h 50m · 89% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 9h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 190 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 55m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip9h 15mSMF 18:05 to MDW 05:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.