tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Kailua/Kona via Phoenix: arrives on time 83%

  1. 05:10 SMF → 07:05 PHX
    WN 3815 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 35m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:40 PHX → 14:06 KOA
    AA 663 · American · 6h 26m · 85% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 11h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kailua/Kona is 3 h behind Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 125 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 35m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip11h 56mSMF 05:10 to KOA 14:06, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.