tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → St Louis via Phoenix: arrives on time 76%

  1. 05:10 SMF → 07:05 PHX
    WN 3815 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:02 PHX → 13:00 STL
    WN 1467 · Southwest · 2h 58m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (St Louis is 2 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip5h 50mSMF 05:10 to STL 13:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.