tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Kahului via Phoenix: arrives on time 83%

  1. 05:10 SMF → 07:05 PHX
    WN 3815 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 15m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:20 PHX → 12:40 OGG
    WN 2138 · Southwest · 6h 20m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kahului is 3 h behind Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 90 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 15m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip10h 30mSMF 05:10 to OGG 12:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.