tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Los Angeles via Phoenix: arrives on time 73%

  1. 05:10 SMF → 07:05 PHX
    WN 3815 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:55 PHX → 09:20 LAX
    WN 2427 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip4h 10mSMF 05:10 to LAX 09:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.