tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Honolulu via Phoenix: arrives on time 81%

  1. 05:10 SMF → 07:05 PHX
    WN 3815 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 25m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:30 PHX → 12:55 HNL
    WN 3274 · Southwest · 6h 25m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Honolulu is 3 h behind Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 100 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 25m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip10h 45mSMF 05:10 to HNL 12:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.