tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Phoenix via Salt Lake City: arrives on time 78%

  1. 08:05 SMF → 10:40 SLC
    WN 3827 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Salt Lake City (SLC) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:35 SLC → 12:15 PHX
    WN 403 · Southwest · 1h 40m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip4h 10mSMF 08:05 to PHX 12:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.