tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → San Jose via Ontario: arrives on time 45%

  1. 14:20 LAS → 15:25 ONT
    WN 3845 · Southwest · 1h 05m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Ontario (ONT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:35 ONT → 17:45 SJC
    WN 3845 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip3h 25mLAS 14:20 to SJC 17:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.