tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Everett via Las Vegas: arrives on time 78%

  1. 16:00 SNA → 17:15 LAS
    WN 3846 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 71% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 35m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 19:50 LAS → 22:30 PAE
    AS 366 · Alaska · 2h 40m · 83% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 35 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 65 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 35m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip6h 30mSNA 16:00 to PAE 22:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.