tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Phoenix via Oakland: arrives on time 89%

  1. 08:00 SNA → 09:25 OAK
    WN 3848 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 100% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Oakland (OAK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:15 OAK → 12:10 PHX
    WN 4766 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip4h 10mSNA 08:00 to PHX 12:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.