tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Orlando via St Louis: arrives on time 27%

  1. 13:50 LAS → 19:05 STL
    WN 3851 · Southwest · 3h 15m · 56% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in St Louis (STL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:00 STL → 23:30 MCO
    WN 3950 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 62% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 3 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection44%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 56% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (44%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip6h 40mLAS 13:50 to MCO 23:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.