tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Las Vegas via Oakland: arrives on time 34%

  1. 18:35 SNA → 20:00 OAK
    WN 3853 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 45% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Oakland (OAK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:00 OAK → 22:40 LAS
    WN 4952 · Southwest · 1h 38m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection45%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 55% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (45%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip4h 03mSNA 18:35 to LAS 22:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.