tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Las Vegas via Sacramento: arrives on time 81%

  1. 14:05 SNA → 15:40 SMF
    WN 3870 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 84% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 48m layover in Sacramento (SMF) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 18:28 SMF → 19:59 LAS
    F9 2070 · Frontier · 1h 29m · 84% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 78 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 48m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip5h 52mSNA 14:05 to LAS 19:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.