tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Baltimore via Sacramento: arrives on time 75%

  1. 16:30 SNA → 17:55 SMF
    WN 3871 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 88% on time, 4.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 45m layover in Sacramento (SMF) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:40 SMF → 05:35 BWI +1 day
    WN 3622 · Southwest · 4h 55m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 3 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 180 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 45m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (4.8% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip10h 05mSNA 16:30 to BWI 05:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.