tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Chicago via Sacramento: arrives on time 90%

  1. 18:45 SNA → 20:10 SMF
    WN 3872 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 00m layover in Sacramento (SMF) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 23:10 SMF → 05:36 ORD +1 day
    AA 3060 · American · 4h 23m · 94% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 90 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 00m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip8h 48mSNA 18:45 to ORD 05:36, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.