tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sarasota/Bradenton → Chicago via Baltimore: arrives on time 66%

  1. 06:45 SRQ → 09:10 BWI
    WN 3876 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 96% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 20m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:30 BWI → 13:30 MDW
    WN 435 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Sarasota/Bradenton). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 155 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 20m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip7h 45mSRQ 06:45 to MDW 13:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.