tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sarasota/Bradenton → Orlando via Chicago: arrives on time 31%

  1. 17:45 SRQ → 19:25 MDW
    WN 3879 · Southwest · 2h 40m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:35 MDW → 00:35 MCO +1 day
    WN 2821 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 47% on time, 3.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (3.5% are) and within 15 minutes (47%).
Total trip6h 25mSRQ 17:45 to MCO 00:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.