tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sarasota/Bradenton → Orlando via St Louis: arrives on time 44%

  1. 15:38 SRQ → 17:00 STL
    WN 3880 · Southwest · 2h 22m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in St Louis (STL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:10 STL → 21:40 MCO
    WN 3949 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 68% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip6h 02mSRQ 15:38 to MCO 21:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.