tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sarasota/Bradenton → Chicago via St Louis: arrives on time 41%

  1. 15:38 SRQ → 17:00 STL
    WN 3880 · Southwest · 2h 22m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 30m layover in St Louis (STL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:30 STL → 19:35 MDW
    WN 596 · Southwest · 1h 05m · 52% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Sarasota/Bradenton). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 30m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip4h 57mSRQ 15:38 to MDW 19:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.