tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Las Vegas via Atlanta: arrives on time 14%

  1. 16:25 STL → 19:00 ATL
    WN 3882 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 45% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:10 ATL → 21:30 LAS
    WN 210 · Southwest · 4h 20m · 28% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind St Louis). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection53%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 47% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time14%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (53%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (28%).
Total trip7h 05mSTL 16:25 to LAS 21:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.